tech%20%26%20science

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Will Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

LLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?

Will an AI generated song win a Grammy before 2050?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

US recession in 2026?

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on August 29?

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

Q-Day before 2030?

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Will Trump finish his second term?

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August?

U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30?

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-29?

Hawaii vs. Stanford

Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-29?

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-29?

Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-29?

Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Eastern Michigan

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-29?

Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State Bison

Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

New Mexico State vs. Florida State

Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade

Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

Bears vs. Titans

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29?

Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?

Houston Astros vs. New York Mets

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?

Will NEC win on 2026-08-29?

San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays

LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-29?

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Will Angers SCO win on 2026-08-29?

Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffs

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

North Carolina State vs. Virginia

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-08-29?

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner

Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-29?

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-29?

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-08-29?

Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-29?

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-29?

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29?

Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves